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Michael Stevens of VSauce and D!ing meets with Mark Hebner and John Brunson to discuss adding the Galton Board to his Curiosity Box.
Michael Stevens of VSauce and D!ing poses John Brunson with a life size Galton Board in the background.
Mark Hebner president of Index Fund Advisors and Four Pines Publishing with Michael Stevens of Vsauce.
John Brunson Marketing Associate at Four Pines Publishing with Michael Stevens of Vsauce.
Michael Stevens of Vsauce showing a ruler he developed that also measures light in picoseconds and sound in microseconds.
Unfortunately this event was so popular over 1200 tried to attend in a room with a capacity of 450. Event was live streamed to those turned away at the door.
The Galton Board presented in the IBM Pavilion during the New York World’s Fair of 1964.
The original IBM logo. The IBM Pavilion, hosting the Eames’ Galton Board, was one of the more popular attractions of the 1964 New York World’s Fair.
The numerous rows of pegs on the Eames’ Galton Board, where each peg gives each ball a 50/50 chance of dropping to the left or right.
A photo of the Galton Board made by Charles and Ray Eames in the IBM Pavilion at the 1964 New York World’s Fair.
A spectator observes the intricacies of the Eames’ Galton Board hosted in the IBM Pavilion at the 1964 New York World’s Fair.
Onlookers marvel at the sophistication of the Eames’ Galton Board hosted in the IBM Pavilion at the 1964 New York World’s Fair.
A computer generated image of the IBM Pavilion Galton Board.
Black and white photo of the Eames’ Galton Board taken in April of 1967.
An advertisement promoting the Mathematica Exhibit and showing off a normal distribution curve from random variables.
Famed architects Charles and Ray Eames constructing a model of the Mathematica Exhibit.
An educational board at the Mathematica Exhibit describing the mathematical principles of the Galton Board including randomness, Pascal’s Triangle, and the normal distribution curve.
An educational sign found in the Mathematica Exhibit, describing the scientific and historical significance of the Galton Board.
A photo of the entrance to the Mathematica Exhibit circa 1964.
The Galton Board produced by Charles and Ray Eames held in the Mathematica Exhibit.
The Galton Board made by Charles and Ray Eames featured in the Mathematica Exhibit.
The Galton Board produced by Charles and Ray Eames and held in the Mathematica Exhibit.
A sign engraved with a quote pertaining to probabilistic uncertainty by renowned American mathematician Richard Bellman.
Sir Francis Galton’s original Galton Board made in 1893 with his written user’s instructions on the board’s frame.
An infographic illustrating how randomized variables, represented as the volume of milk production from cows, approximate a normal distribution curve.
A normal distribution produced by a Galton Board used for six sigma training and designed experiments.
Another normal distribution produced by a Galton Board used for six sigma training and designed experiments.
A Galton Board being operated by a curious child.
A Galton Board constructed from Legos.
A Galton Board featured at the Oregon Museum of Science and Industry.
The name and date of the Galton Board in the Oregon Museum of Science and Industry engraved on its processing chip.
A processor board of the Galton Board featured at the Oregon Museum of Science and Industry.
The internal components of the Galton Board featured at the Oregon Museum of Science and Industry.
Galton Board “Murphy” being unpacked by IFA employees.
The pedestal of Galton Board “Francis” during its production stage.
A trial run of the prototype of Galton Board “Francis,” which approximately yields a normal distribution curve when a large yet finite sample of balls are distributed.
The metal frame of Galton Board “Francis” during its production stage.
The board section, complete with pegs and bins, of Galton Board “Francis” during its production stage.
The conveyor belt component of Galton Board “Murphy” which brings her balls from the bottom reservoir to the funnel on top of the board.
Galton Board “Francis” shortly after being installed in the lobby of Index Fund Advisors, Inc.
The lobby of Index Fund Advisors, Inc. before the installation of Galton Board “Francis.”
Getting ready to place upright.
All crew in place for lift-off.
Crew starts to lift.
Halfway there.
Almost upright.
Galton Board is up and being moved into place.
Galton Board “Francis” distributes her hundreds of randomized balls into her 30 bins in which all of the balls will roughly approximate a normal distribution curve.
Shortly after Galton Board “Francis’s” installation in the Index Fund Advisors Inc. Lobby, balls are examined to ensure that they properly function within “Francis.”
Galton Board “Francis” shortly after distributing her hundreds of randomized balls which now roughly approximate a normal distribution.
Galton Board “Francis” standing in the lobby of Index Fund Advisors Inc.
Founder and president of Index Fund Advisors, Inc. Mark Hebner poses with Galton Board “Francis.”
Galton Board “Francis” with an applique attached showing the average monthly return of an index portfolio 100 under a normal distribution curve.
An infographic of the Hebner model illustrating the Efficient Market Hypothesis and the expected monthly return for an index portfolio 50 functions as a normal distribution curve in a Galton Board.
An infographic of the “Hebner Model,” illustrating the Efficient Market Hypothesis and the expected monthly return for an index portfolio 50 functions as a normal distribution curve in a Galton Board.
The Galton Board is an indispensable mathematical tool, allowing man to directly observe probabilistic principles that are otherwise elusive if not counter-intuitive to his naive reasoning.
A close up of the “Hebner Model” on the index portfolio 50, comparing the average monthly returns of an index portfolio 50 to a normal distribution created by a Galton Board.
Naively predicting the outcome of a single ball within the Galton Board, or any given random variable, is about as accurate as a monkey picking winning stocks by throwing darts at a newspaper’s financial pages while blindfolded.
Comparison of Fice Dice to the S&P 500
This breaks down and illustrates how Pascal's Triangle works.
A showcase of Galton Board “Murphy” which displays her intricate mechanisms including the conveyor belt which carries the balls up, the pegs which disperse the balls, and the bins which collect the balls into approximately a normal distribution curve.
Galton Board “Murphy” presents the number of total balls within a given bin after they have been distributed, showing that the approximate normal distribution can also be represented by the number of random variables within a given standard deviation.
The numerous black balls of Galton Board “Murphy” which act as randomized variables of any given data set.
A photo of Galton Board “Murphy” shortly after use with her black balls randomly ordered into a normal distribution.
The conveyor belt system of Galton Board “Murphy” which brings the black balls from the bottom of the Galton Board up to the top to be randomly distributed.
The balls in Galton Board “Murphy” are distributed through the funnel at the top and bounced off of the numerous rows of pegs which give the balls a fair 50/50 chance going to the left or right.
After being dropped and randomly distributed in a trial run, the black balls of Galton Board “Murphy” approximately form a normal distribution.
The black balls of Galton Board “Murphy” approximately form a normal distribution, in which each black ball is accounted for by the calculators at the bottom of each bin.
The numerous rows of pegs in Galton Board “Murphy,” where each peg gives each ball a 50/50 chance of dropping to the left or right.
Researcher from Princeton Engineering Anomalies Research Lab (PEAR) observes and records the outcomes of a Galton Board in order to determine whether or not human cognition “has a real and measurable, influence on the perceivable dynamics of the material world.”1
Notes from the laboratory notebooks that document each experimental run of the PEAR Galton Board which record various data including: the intention of the operator, local temperature, humidity, final tallies, etc.1
The folks at Index Fund Advisors loading Galton Board “Murphy” with her dozens of black balls.
The distribution of the black balls dropped by Galton Board “Murphy.”
The folks at Index Fund Advisors examining the many intricacies of Galton Board "Murphy."
Employees at Index Fund Advisors, Inc. examine Galton Board "Murphy" to discover how she works.
Mark Hebner of Index Fund Advisors presenting the numerous rows of pegs on Galton Board "Murphy."
An IFA employee poses with Galton Board "Murphy."
The folks at IFA unpacking Galton Board "Murphy."
Front of 10 dollar Carl Gauss Deutschmark.
Back of 10 dollar Carl Gauss Deutschmark contains sextant.
10 dollar Carl Gauss Deutschmark Bellcurve Closeup.
10 dollar Carl Gauss Deutschmark Closeup.
A miniature geodetic survey section covering the important locations of Falkenberg, Wilsede, Hohenhorn, Hamburg, Bremen, Zeven, and Neuwerk
Next to every portrait of Gauss is a second portrait, invisible watermark.